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voter id which is going to allow governor romney to win the state of pennsylvania done. so at least the republican strategy to rig the election in pennsylvania has fallen short unfortunately there are several other states where similar efforts by republicans are still rolling along and ultimately this issue will likely be settled by the u.s. supreme court the near future a court whose right wing members have already ruled five to four that americans do not have a fundamental right to vote that was in bush v gore joining us now from our l.a. studios is brad fried founder and publisher of the bread blog bread live dot com brad welcome back tom good to be back thank you for joining us and good to see you my friend does this decision effectively kill this voter i.d. law in pennsylvania till the election yes and no and i hate to be confusing about this because it needs to be clear and this judge this republican judge i believe purposely made a ruling here that was not particularly clear so here's where we are for this november the photo id restriction will not keep anyone fro
voter id which is going to allow governor romney to win the state of pennsylvania done. so at least the republican strategy to rig the election in pennsylvania has fallen short unfortunately there are several other states where similar efforts by republicans are still rolling along and ultimately this issue will likely be settled by the u.s. supreme court the near future a court whose right wing members have already ruled five to four that americans do not have a fundamental right to vote that...
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consider those romney's problem states. one state where romney wins on the economy, right side up favorability rating and where the president's job approval is below 49, north carolina, which is why the state seems to lean, everybody thinks at the end of the day romney gets to 50 before the president. as the poll out this morning shows, it is a razor tight race. the president up two among likely voters, 48-46. in nevada, leads by two. new hampshire, leads by seven points. romney launched his presidential campaign there and has a summer home there. we will see. we have three more polls, state polls and big three next week before the debate, a national poll coming out, but you see the environment. one other interesting note on polling, if you average the nine states together in the various leads, almost looks identical to the national polls. five and a half point lead for the president, 49, 44 with rounding, which of course is where all the national polls sit around five points for the president. romney starts his morning in
consider those romney's problem states. one state where romney wins on the economy, right side up favorability rating and where the president's job approval is below 49, north carolina, which is why the state seems to lean, everybody thinks at the end of the day romney gets to 50 before the president. as the poll out this morning shows, it is a razor tight race. the president up two among likely voters, 48-46. in nevada, leads by two. new hampshire, leads by seven points. romney launched his...
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when mitt romney was governor, the credit rating on his state was upgraded. that is the kind of change we will get with the mitt romney presidency. [applause] we need to tackle our nation's challenges before they tackle us. we need to save and strengthen medicare and social security. your putting ideas on the table of how to do that. we will not scare seniors. we will save the benefits for seniors and my generation so these promises are kept. we believe in strong national defense. we do not agree with the president's reckless defense cuts because we believe in peace through strength. [applause] in the live free or die state, we know this to be true. we want to be in control of our own health care. to do that, we have to repeal and replace obamacare. [applause] the choice is clear. we can either stick with the failed policies of the last four years for the next four years, which gives us a stagnant economy and foster's government dependency, or we can fix these problems. we can bring the leadership we are lacking and have a dynamic, growing economy that produc
when mitt romney was governor, the credit rating on his state was upgraded. that is the kind of change we will get with the mitt romney presidency. [applause] we need to tackle our nation's challenges before they tackle us. we need to save and strengthen medicare and social security. your putting ideas on the table of how to do that. we will not scare seniors. we will save the benefits for seniors and my generation so these promises are kept. we believe in strong national defense. we do not...
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those swing state polls show mitt romney down. and s campaign is now rerve anotr .4 million in ad time in those crucial states, including $1.5 million for virginia. but it's io's numbers that are raising a lot of eyebrows today. the president hinted at the 47% videthere that's been so devastate for hisopnt
those swing state polls show mitt romney down. and s campaign is now rerve anotr .4 million in ad time in those crucial states, including $1.5 million for virginia. but it's io's numbers that are raising a lot of eyebrows today. the president hinted at the 47% videthere that's been so devastate for hisopnt
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president obama leads romney in swing state polls of nbc news polls show him up seven points in new hampshire, even though mr. romney has a home in new hampshire. he's up two points in nevada and north carolina. this comes up on top of other polls, like he's up ten points in ohio. foints. no republican has won without idaho. ohio. these are very solid numbers even though no matter how you try and do the margin of error, he is up. >> the president is up in basically every swing state that you can look out, including ones like north carolina where he won very narrowly. if you look at ohio and pennsylvania, the lead is particularly dramatic and that is driven by the fact that mitt romney is such a poor candidate because he sent job overseas, he worked at bain capital directly impacted people there. and also another thing i wop point to in ohio in particular, he was forced to come out and support the anti-union sb-5 ballot initiative during the primary campaign and that left a negative taste in voters' mouths in ohio as well. >> and sp-5 was defeated? >> that's right. soundly. >> dana, the fact t
president obama leads romney in swing state polls of nbc news polls show him up seven points in new hampshire, even though mr. romney has a home in new hampshire. he's up two points in nevada and north carolina. this comes up on top of other polls, like he's up ten points in ohio. foints. no republican has won without idaho. ohio. these are very solid numbers even though no matter how you try and do the margin of error, he is up. >> the president is up in basically every swing state that...
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take alist. >> wch i gngoll governor romney to win the state of pennsylvania, done. >> that, of course, was mike r tuai in pennsylvania. a pennsvania judge ma rule as ettockoter i.d. lie on law that could influence turnout. is this something that reblicans have been kind of admitting to now? they've admitted in the form of mike turzai, is this a serious dgs maga tem iall es pls to introduce voter i.d.? >> absolutely. while it's something noble when you just hear we want to prevent voter fraud, you look at the facts and figures, and there is such few cases of voter fraud. s barely 86 o tasistration there idfiver a five-year period. >> and in florida they suggested they had to purge 180,000 people from the voting rolls. i think they found 36 people who might be questionable. >> exactly. but this is where it becomes once again a braing and a pr issue. when you look at who arehe penal that are affected, the elder, students, young people, minorities, which once again it is the fastest growing voter segment and they want to continue to ignore and say they don't want to ignore but pushing for
take alist. >> wch i gngoll governor romney to win the state of pennsylvania, done. >> that, of course, was mike r tuai in pennsylvania. a pennsvania judge ma rule as ettockoter i.d. lie on law that could influence turnout. is this something that reblicans have been kind of admitting to now? they've admitted in the form of mike turzai, is this a serious dgs maga tem iall es pls to introduce voter i.d.? >> absolutely. while it's something noble when you just hear we want to...
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these are mitt romney's likability numbers in six key battleground stat states. topping our political headlines, mitt romney going after president obama on foreign policy today. in his weekly podcast, romney said the president is fumbling his response to events in the middle east. >> this week, when president obama was asked about the recent disruption and chaos and violence in the middle east, he said that these were merely bumps in the road. that casual assessment of shocking events reveals that the president really doesn't understand the gravity of the challenges that we face in the broader middle east. >> meanwhile, the obama campaign is out with a new ad, it takes aim at romney's experience at bain capital, spotlighting workers who said they lost their jobs because governor romney was more concerned about short-term profits than creating jobs. >> people need to know what mitt romney did to miriam, indiana, in 1994. >> you don't just come in and take everything everybody's got and destroy a business. i mean, that's what they did. >> when you take away all the
these are mitt romney's likability numbers in six key battleground stat states. topping our political headlines, mitt romney going after president obama on foreign policy today. in his weekly podcast, romney said the president is fumbling his response to events in the middle east. >> this week, when president obama was asked about the recent disruption and chaos and violence in the middle east, he said that these were merely bumps in the road. that casual assessment of shocking events...
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but mitt romney didn't make that argument. and he didn't make it in those swing states. and that's because mitt romney played defense a lot of the first half of this year. whether it was in the primaries or in may, when the primary was finally over, and the obama campaign really started to hit him hard on his bain record. there hasn't an opening or an effective way for him to articulate a vision to turning the economy around. and it shows in the poll numbers. >> lynn, if governor romney can't hang this economy over the president's neck in the next three or four weeks, is there a chance he can beat him? >> of course there is one big blooper from obama, and the mistake may certainly change the trajectory of the campaign. but garrett made a very good point. i want to quickly build on another reason why obama might have dealt with housing today. he's doing his debate prep in a suburb of las vegas. where is he now that it's hard hit? so, again, this is another reason -- a reason he's camped out there, deliberately, so to try to bolster his support in nevada. and again, i thin
but mitt romney didn't make that argument. and he didn't make it in those swing states. and that's because mitt romney played defense a lot of the first half of this year. whether it was in the primaries or in may, when the primary was finally over, and the obama campaign really started to hit him hard on his bain record. there hasn't an opening or an effective way for him to articulate a vision to turning the economy around. and it shows in the poll numbers. >> lynn, if governor romney...
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when mitt romney was governor, the credit rating of his state was upgraded. that's the kind of change that we'll get with a mitt romney presidency. >> governor scott walker, republican from wisconsin, is also in new hampshire today, stumping on behalf of the romney campaign. earlier today, he spoke at the state's gop convention. meanwhile, today, vice president joe biden is in florida. he wrapped up an event in ft. myers not long ago, where he said mitt romney and paul ryan will block any bipartisan attempts to reduce the debt. >> paul ryan even voted against the simpson/bowles plan he talked about now, as a member of the commission. it's important to know why. because they will not vote for a single solitary reduction in the debt if it includes one dollar in new taxes for millionaires. >> neither governor romney nor president obama have any public events scheduled today or tomorrow. they'll be spending a lot of the weekend prepping for that first debate, wednesday in denver. we'll have a whole lot more on all of these stories throughout the next three hours.
when mitt romney was governor, the credit rating of his state was upgraded. that's the kind of change that we'll get with a mitt romney presidency. >> governor scott walker, republican from wisconsin, is also in new hampshire today, stumping on behalf of the romney campaign. earlier today, he spoke at the state's gop convention. meanwhile, today, vice president joe biden is in florida. he wrapped up an event in ft. myers not long ago, where he said mitt romney and paul ryan will block any...
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texas will go to romney. >> why campaign in the other states? >> we don't. why waste our time? >> they do go there, but just to raise money from rich people. otherwise the consultants ignore 40 of 50 states. >> this is not about a national campaign. it's about persuadable voters in a few states. that's what matters. >> tod today campaign managers copied rove's strategy. first step, identify your key voters, and then get them to vote. >> your only priority today is getting people to vote. >> they call it got tv. >> have you had a chance to vote yet? >> hundreds and hundreds of volunteers to knock on their door, you have to call them and remind them today is caucus day, today is voting day, call them once, call them twice. >> i'm calling to remind you today is election day. >> you call them again? >> sure. you make sure they know where their polling place is. >> it boils down to this one day. you have to make sure your voters get out. >> hi. my name is annie. >> today the phone system's automated, a volunteer presses a button, a phone automatically dials the likely supporter, and
texas will go to romney. >> why campaign in the other states? >> we don't. why waste our time? >> they do go there, but just to raise money from rich people. otherwise the consultants ignore 40 of 50 states. >> this is not about a national campaign. it's about persuadable voters in a few states. that's what matters. >> tod today campaign managers copied rove's strategy. first step, identify your key voters, and then get them to vote. >> your only priority...
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romney does five points nationally in some big swing state that romney does need a big move in the debates to change the game. anytime a campaign says a poll is wrong, it's a sign they're not doing well from my experience doing politics. >> susan, if you look at new hampshire where his lead is larger, but in north carolina and nevada it's close, and those are states not doing as well economically. does that make sense to you, that that's where mitt romney would be keeping it closer? i'm trying to get to the heart of this complaint about these skewed polls. >> the idea behind the complaint is it's not the same dynamic as it was in 2008. the idea that democrats would be turning out in the same mhuge numbers as they were in 2008 which some polls suggest doesn't make any sense. the economy is on the verge of another recession according to a lot of nonpartisan think tanks. people are out of work and the unemployment rate is skyrocketing. the idea the democrats turn out with the same numbers and the same level of enthusiasm as they did in 2008 has raised, rightfully so, the number of democrats s
romney does five points nationally in some big swing state that romney does need a big move in the debates to change the game. anytime a campaign says a poll is wrong, it's a sign they're not doing well from my experience doing politics. >> susan, if you look at new hampshire where his lead is larger, but in north carolina and nevada it's close, and those are states not doing as well economically. does that make sense to you, that that's where mitt romney would be keeping it closer? i'm...
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those swing state polls show mitt romney down. and his campaign is now reserved another $3.4 million in ad time in those crucial states, including $1.5 million for virginia. but it's ohio's numbers that are raising a lot of eyebrows today. the president hinted at the 47% video there that's been so devastate for his opponent. >> i have spent a lot of time in ohio, and i don't meet a lot of victories. i see a lot of hard work in ohio ans. >> "new york times" political analyst nate silver calculates that mitt romney's chance of winning ohio is 3.6%. as we've been tell you, no republican has won the white house without it. >>> despite the polls piling up against him mitt romney insists he can win. >> i believe in america, and i believe in you. i believe you're going to help me win ohio, i'll tell you that. all right. >> i want to bring in carl bernstein, contributor to "the daily beast" and lynn sweep, columnist and bureau chief for the chicago sun times. good morning to both of you. >> good morning. >> you look t those polls and you
those swing state polls show mitt romney down. and his campaign is now reserved another $3.4 million in ad time in those crucial states, including $1.5 million for virginia. but it's ohio's numbers that are raising a lot of eyebrows today. the president hinted at the 47% video there that's been so devastate for his opponent. >> i have spent a lot of time in ohio, and i don't meet a lot of victories. i see a lot of hard work in ohio ans. >> "new york times" political...
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while governor romney logged 17 trips to the state this election cycle president obama is making his 13th visit this year alone. earlier this month the democratic ticket made clear just how much ohio means to them. >> if we win ohio, we win the election. >> if we win toledo, we will win ohio. and if we win ohio we'll win this election. >> john heilemann, there has been no shortage of love for the state of ohio this election cycle. president obama and mitt romney both speaking at 1:05 today. i wonder your take on the state it's interesting when you look at the dynamics economically at play in ohio. governor cakasic's great job of sheparding the ohio economy to account for state unemployment 7.2%, lower than the national average, it also undercuts mitt romney's message this economy isn't in turn around and time to get someone else. >> makes john kasic a hobbled sur row gate for mitt romney, you can't say the economy is great when you're trying to prove the economy is bad. thing about ohio it's an important state, and remember when 2004 the whole election came down to john kerry losing
while governor romney logged 17 trips to the state this election cycle president obama is making his 13th visit this year alone. earlier this month the democratic ticket made clear just how much ohio means to them. >> if we win ohio, we win the election. >> if we win toledo, we will win ohio. and if we win ohio we'll win this election. >> john heilemann, there has been no shortage of love for the state of ohio this election cycle. president obama and mitt romney both speaking...
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red states are romney states. blue, obama. then the pinkish lean romney. light blue, lean obama. then the yellow states are tossup states. within the margin of error. this is all based on the polls within the last 30 days. okay, karl, what has changed in the last week since we talked? >> we had 46 polls last week in 22 states. four states moved toward president obama and changed status. iowa, ohio, nevada, all battleground states moved from tossup to lean obama. montana moved from romney to lean romney. there were 11 other states then moved toward obama but had no change in status. there were five states that moved toward governor romney. but again had no change in status. >> joe, of those, what is most important? >> i mean the biggest thing is that shift in nevada and ohio. those two in particular. ohio, obviously, a big move. moving it to lean obama, it puts for the first time, i think since we started back in april, it puts obama with over the 270 electoral votes. we had that back then. it's coming clear today. that makes states like colorado even more important. and ohio stil
red states are romney states. blue, obama. then the pinkish lean romney. light blue, lean obama. then the yellow states are tossup states. within the margin of error. this is all based on the polls within the last 30 days. okay, karl, what has changed in the last week since we talked? >> we had 46 polls last week in 22 states. four states moved toward president obama and changed status. iowa, ohio, nevada, all battleground states moved from tossup to lean obama. montana moved from romney...
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republicans who say that romney needs a clear victory. not a wash, a clear victory on wednesday, or else, the donations will dry up and so will the grassroots support. >> first of all, the polls are close. this is going to be a close race an -- >> but you are trailing. >> we are running against an incumbent president and running against and in become kent president with incredible resources, but, more importantly, i don't think one event is going to make or break this campaign. look, president obama is a very gifted speaker. the man has been on the national stage for many years. he's an experienced debater and has done these kinds of debates before and this is mitt's first time on this kind of a stage... >> chris: 23 debates during the primaries. >> what people will see is who is mitt romney. what kind cough a president is he going to be and what are the choices i have? to me that matters, in this particular debate and all the debates. which is, i know what president obama has done and all of the empty promises and broken promises and the
republicans who say that romney needs a clear victory. not a wash, a clear victory on wednesday, or else, the donations will dry up and so will the grassroots support. >> first of all, the polls are close. this is going to be a close race an -- >> but you are trailing. >> we are running against an incumbent president and running against and in become kent president with incredible resources, but, more importantly, i don't think one event is going to make or break this...
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texas will go to romney. >> why campaign in the other states? >> we don't. why waste our time? >> they do go there, but just to raise money from rich people. otherwise the consultants ignore 40 of 50 states. >> this is not about a national campaign. it's about persuadable voters in a few states. that's what matters. >> tod today campaign managers copied rove's strategy. first step, identify your key voters, and then get them to vote. >> your only priority today is getting people to vote. >> they call it got tv. >> have you had a chance to vote yet? >> hundreds and hundreds of volunteers to knock on their door, you have to call them and remind them today is caucus day, today is voting day, call them once, call them twice. >> i'm calling to remind you today is election day. >> you call them again? >> sure. you make sure they know where their polling place is. >> it boils down to this one day. you have to make sure your voters get out. >> hi. my name is annie. >> today the phone system's automated, a volunteer presses a button, a phone automatically dials the likely supporter, and
texas will go to romney. >> why campaign in the other states? >> we don't. why waste our time? >> they do go there, but just to raise money from rich people. otherwise the consultants ignore 40 of 50 states. >> this is not about a national campaign. it's about persuadable voters in a few states. that's what matters. >> tod today campaign managers copied rove's strategy. first step, identify your key voters, and then get them to vote. >> your only priority...
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. >> romney's pitch comes as polling shows president obama has the advantage in nine battleground states including razor-thin leads in north carolina and nevada and a bigger lead in mitt romney's vacation destination, new hampshire. all of it comes with a new headline from politico. in the end, it's mitt. all of us making a first presidential debate, which is less than one week away now even more critical for the governor. let's bring in "news nation" panel. david godfrin, michael and steve daise, conservative radio talk show host. thanks to you for being with me on this friday. steve, let me start with you. these new poll numbers, the head-to-head showing the president now ahead in all three states, north carolina, nevada and new hampshire. new hampshire, of course, romney's home away from home where he has a vacation spot. governor romney's favorables continue to be underwater in all but north carolina now. combine these numbers with what we've seen all week, how worried are republicans? how worried are they that we're approaching the point where it might be time to focus on the congre
. >> romney's pitch comes as polling shows president obama has the advantage in nine battleground states including razor-thin leads in north carolina and nevada and a bigger lead in mitt romney's vacation destination, new hampshire. all of it comes with a new headline from politico. in the end, it's mitt. all of us making a first presidential debate, which is less than one week away now even more critical for the governor. let's bring in "news nation" panel. david godfrin,...
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are those two in the romney capped out to be part of the swing states? >> may be people on the panel would disagree. i certainly see it that way. there is no reason upon us and shouting distance and indiana. the best he's done is to be forefront points down. most of them have far larger marks. if you look at that state, the actual demographic and geographic shifts taking place within this date seemed to be making up more conservative over time thomas, which is quite a niche one state these days. even though missouri was razor thin margin, most people see that is getting much wider this year in the direction of the gop. >> people often point to a place lakeway county in north carolina is making up more liberal or democrat leaning than otherwise. the thing is people come from somewhere else. so in general, if they're coming from the northeastern united states, that could theoretically play as people go to northern virginia. that could still be true, even if it still is overwhelmingly democratic as kids become under the right circumstances. >> basically wha
are those two in the romney capped out to be part of the swing states? >> may be people on the panel would disagree. i certainly see it that way. there is no reason upon us and shouting distance and indiana. the best he's done is to be forefront points down. most of them have far larger marks. if you look at that state, the actual demographic and geographic shifts taking place within this date seemed to be making up more conservative over time thomas, which is quite a niche one state...
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>> go ahead. >> craig, i want to say mitt romney has two home states where he was born and raised, michigan, and where he was governor, massachusetts. he's trailing by double-digits in both. it's as if the people who know him best like him least. i don't think this is an issue of he's got to get himself out there and have people get to know him. where they know him, he's losing. >> i don't think they recognize him. i don't think those in massachusetts recognize the inkarn nation of mitt romney now seeking the presidency. he's not the same guy. >> his positions are different with regards to abortion, with regards to gays and gun control. i want to bring you back in here. there was an op ed written by another conservative voice who sees some issues with the romney campaign. this is from charles krauthammer. it makes you think how far ahead romney would be if he were actually running a campaign. his willingness to go big, to go for the larger argument is simply astonishing. do you think if that campaign had presented some sort of monumental, some sort of major idea at this point, do you think
>> go ahead. >> craig, i want to say mitt romney has two home states where he was born and raised, michigan, and where he was governor, massachusetts. he's trailing by double-digits in both. it's as if the people who know him best like him least. i don't think this is an issue of he's got to get himself out there and have people get to know him. where they know him, he's losing. >> i don't think they recognize him. i don't think those in massachusetts recognize the inkarn...
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not just campaigns, listen to governor romney. >> he's president of the united states and an eloquent speaker. >> he's a very eloquent speaker and in his debate last time with senator mccain, he'll be very eloquent. >> reporter: the whole idea is lower the bar and if you're doing well you beat expectations and win the debate, the spin they're playing. listen to stephanie from the obama campaign. >> what history tells us that challengers normally win the first debate just by the fact they're standing on the stage with the president. that elevates them and normally come into this as underdogs. we're coming into this very realistic mitt romney is likely to win if he plays his cards right. >> reporter: while the candidates themselves are laying low today, the running mates will be in the spotlight. >> tell us about what paul ryan is doing this weekend while mitt romney is rehearsing and getting ready in massachusetts. reporter: you got it. in an hour he will be behind me. we're in dairy, new hampshire. not far from massachusetts. it is a battleground state with four electoral votes up for
not just campaigns, listen to governor romney. >> he's president of the united states and an eloquent speaker. >> he's a very eloquent speaker and in his debate last time with senator mccain, he'll be very eloquent. >> reporter: the whole idea is lower the bar and if you're doing well you beat expectations and win the debate, the spin they're playing. listen to stephanie from the obama campaign. >> what history tells us that challengers normally win the first debate just...
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so mitt romney spent yesterday in pennsylvania. that was not exactly a battleground state. they're not even running ads there right now. so it's a little bit of a head scratcher when you take a look at where they're spending their time. how they expect to pull this thing out. >> you know what's interesting about this, too, aimee is the president's came totally lowering expectations on the debate front. is there a theme, a general theme being struck by the president's team on all this? and how much debate prep is the president actually doing, given it's been a pretty busy cycle for him in terms of running things from 1600 pennsylvania avenue? >> well, yeah, they're saying he hasn't really had time to prepare for this. he's focused on his day job, which, of course, we know is not. he's campaigning. and the other side is saying the same thing, they're both kind of giving each other very glowing remarks about how the other side is a great orator, the other side has had many times to practice in the primary. but the president has been practicing. he's been going to the dnc every
so mitt romney spent yesterday in pennsylvania. that was not exactly a battleground state. they're not even running ads there right now. so it's a little bit of a head scratcher when you take a look at where they're spending their time. how they expect to pull this thing out. >> you know what's interesting about this, too, aimee is the president's came totally lowering expectations on the debate front. is there a theme, a general theme being struck by the president's team on all this? and...
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Oct 1, 2012
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just one state did you have the president's job approval rating 48% or over and romney winning on the issue of the economy. that's north carolina. if you look at it that way and go to the map to 270, what does that mean, and you put those four states into the respective categories, and look at. this the president for suur sho. romney a long way to go has to sweep the rest. there are five left in the background. florida, virginia, wisconsin, colorado, nevada. this is where if romney does do what chris christie said he will do, the first place you'll see it are in the five states that are left. >> ralph reed, that's a lot of movement that has to take place to overcome where the campaign is. yet you heard chris christie say it this morning on the program, we'll have a new dynamic come thursday morning the result of the first debate. >> well, first of all, there's been a lot of up and down. there's been a lot of back and forth. but one thing that hasn't changed, david, is that today in the gallup poll, obama's job approval is under 50. and job approval is the single best predictor of an i
just one state did you have the president's job approval rating 48% or over and romney winning on the issue of the economy. that's north carolina. if you look at it that way and go to the map to 270, what does that mean, and you put those four states into the respective categories, and look at. this the president for suur sho. romney a long way to go has to sweep the rest. there are five left in the background. florida, virginia, wisconsin, colorado, nevada. this is where if romney does do what...
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Sep 26, 2012
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it is a state that was believed to be very accessible for mitt romney, a state that obama could hold. if he holds all six of the states in the west govern the area he is only four electoral votes short of victory. so critical for the strategy to hold the state of ohio. now, that's not happening at this point. at this point obama is broadly after a 45-point lead in the state. a few buckets of the data on the bottom you see that the worst thing for obama in 2008 was the white working-class. lost by ten points. it's up was that he would be able to expand that parging quite a bit. you wouldn't think it would have been that hard a sell. somewhat culturally conservative levels. among the hard-hit economic area. a lot of ticked off factory workers. you think it would have been an ideal place in which to sell the brand. that does not turn out to be the case. at this point we look at polls the breakout, white college and on college voters. robbie is not anywhere close to driving of that margin among working-class voters. he is, in fact, at best a few points better than wind mccain ran in 2008
it is a state that was believed to be very accessible for mitt romney, a state that obama could hold. if he holds all six of the states in the west govern the area he is only four electoral votes short of victory. so critical for the strategy to hold the state of ohio. now, that's not happening at this point. at this point obama is broadly after a 45-point lead in the state. a few buckets of the data on the bottom you see that the worst thing for obama in 2008 was the white working-class. lost...
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Sep 26, 2012
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i look at polls in states i know like new hampshire, and i know romney is doing better, even though rasmussen has him head in new hampshire, i know he's doing better than rasmussen's numbers. i think the debates will be important. i know everybody's trying to say they're not, but i actually they'll be more important than people think. i think you've got two folks going into it, president obama and mitt romney, who are used to that kind of environment. i think it's going to be really be significant for people who are not having an easy time making up their mind right now. >> bill: joe, you know polls. the governor knows polls. i read polls. one of the things that i think the media has made as a mistake here is they've skewed these polls based on the 2008 model. now we know that the president's support among many in his base has been reduced. every enthusiasm poll shows that it's down significantly. he's lost independents. so when you go back to the 2008 turnout model, that can't be accurate. especially in light of what happened in 2010. so do you acknowledge that those polls are skewed? >> no,
i look at polls in states i know like new hampshire, and i know romney is doing better, even though rasmussen has him head in new hampshire, i know he's doing better than rasmussen's numbers. i think the debates will be important. i know everybody's trying to say they're not, but i actually they'll be more important than people think. i think you've got two folks going into it, president obama and mitt romney, who are used to that kind of environment. i think it's going to be really be...
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Sep 30, 2012
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in one state did you have the president's job approval rate 49 or lower and did you have romney winning on the issue of the economy. that's north carolina. so if you look at it that way. and you go to our map to 270, what does that mean? and you put those four states into the respective categories? and look at this. the president, four short, 265, four short of the 27. romney a long way to go has to sweep the rest. we're looking at five left in the battleground, florida, virginia, wisconsin, colorado, nevada. this is where if romney does do what chris christie said he's going to do, the first places you're going to see it are in those five states left. >> here's the question, ralph reed, that's a lot of movement that has to take place to overcome where the campaign is and yet you heard chris christie say it on this program, we're going to have a new dynamic come thursday morning, the result of the first debate. >> well, look i think first of all, there's been a lot of up and down. there's been a lot of back and forth. but one thing that hasn't changed, david, is that today in the gallup
in one state did you have the president's job approval rate 49 or lower and did you have romney winning on the issue of the economy. that's north carolina. so if you look at it that way. and you go to our map to 270, what does that mean? and you put those four states into the respective categories? and look at this. the president, four short, 265, four short of the 27. romney a long way to go has to sweep the rest. we're looking at five left in the battleground, florida, virginia, wisconsin,...
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Sep 26, 2012
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although they have a crack at anything, romney seems to have stated that they have made some incorrect claims. i think that the likelihood is that we will hear some twisted or false claims coming up. because this is not unique to this particular campaign. this has been going on for a long time. we have pretty strong evidence that greeks holding forth in the encore in athens 2000 either just go work polling the wool over the eyes of voters even back then. i've noted that at least with obama, we've already heard, when he is speaking in person can be somewhat more circumspect and careful about nuance and some of the stuff you see coming out of his ads. in one case that you've heard about actually, corrected or contradicted his own advertising. so to make my predictions i have sort of throwing darts at the claims that they make in their stump speeches, romney and obama. we recently did take outs on the standard speeches they give. many examples of fact twisting and i'll just pick a couple there. one from each side. i predict it's quite likely that we will hear mitt romney say that gasoline
although they have a crack at anything, romney seems to have stated that they have made some incorrect claims. i think that the likelihood is that we will hear some twisted or false claims coming up. because this is not unique to this particular campaign. this has been going on for a long time. we have pretty strong evidence that greeks holding forth in the encore in athens 2000 either just go work polling the wool over the eyes of voters even back then. i've noted that at least with obama,...
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Oct 1, 2012
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romney, we know, is behind in the the polls in the swing states and after that gaff, what's it going to take for him to turn a little for this debate? >> reporter: it won't be easy. it is possible. he's going to have to turn things around. strong debate performances and he really needs to take a lot of these states where he's battling the president where the president has a lead in a lot of swing states. florida, colorado, nevada, north carolina, new hampshire. paul ryan is right. people aren't focused until the debates >> first time we've seen them shoulder to shoulder. all starts on wednesday. susan live in washington. thanks so much. >> 5:41 right now. postal service failing to deliver the major deadline for the second time in two months. >> more confessions from arnold schwarzenegger's big 60 minute interview. the affair that destroyed his relationship with maria. you'll hear from the terminator coming up. >> pinpoint weather is sponsored by hi, i'm amy for downy unstopables in-wash scent boosters, here with my favorite new intern, jimmy. mmm! fresh! and it's been in the closet f
romney, we know, is behind in the the polls in the swing states and after that gaff, what's it going to take for him to turn a little for this debate? >> reporter: it won't be easy. it is possible. he's going to have to turn things around. strong debate performances and he really needs to take a lot of these states where he's battling the president where the president has a lead in a lot of swing states. florida, colorado, nevada, north carolina, new hampshire. paul ryan is right. people...
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Oct 3, 2012
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that means we need to stop digging by electing mitt romney the next president of the united states. >> biden clarified his remarks saying, quote, the middle class was buried by policies that romney and ryan supported. the romney campaign tries to make the stick calling a conference call and then holding a press conference in denver this morning. no doubt we'll hear more about the comments tonight from romney as he tries to draw attention away from his own 47% remark. there is a quick look at tonight's format. there are no opening statements. the president will answer the opening questions. the debate will be divided into six 15-minute segments. the president and romney will each get two minutes to answer an initial question in each topic area but then timing will be left to the moderator's discretion. since obama won a coin toss he won the choice and romney got the choice of if he wants the first or second closing statement. he will be the last person you hear from at tonight's debate. it's going to be a good one. it is fitting that the debate is in colorado. both candidates have spen
that means we need to stop digging by electing mitt romney the next president of the united states. >> biden clarified his remarks saying, quote, the middle class was buried by policies that romney and ryan supported. the romney campaign tries to make the stick calling a conference call and then holding a press conference in denver this morning. no doubt we'll hear more about the comments tonight from romney as he tries to draw attention away from his own 47% remark. there is a quick look...